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Sears Holdings (SHLD) reports tomorrow, so what to expect?
The Sears Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ:SHLD) reports Q1 2008 earnings before the market opens tomorrow (Thursday, 5/31). The current estimate is $1.22 a share vs. $1.10 last year. So what will investors be looking for and how will Sears do?
1- Same Store Sales:
Sears, despite constantly improving profitability has experience a steady decline here. Investors seem to want to see a bottom. If this number comes in flat or up, watch for an immediate run in the stock. Much has been said about the importance this metric has and that it is not a "be all end all", but, if it is the one folks follow, then we need to pay attention to it.
2- The Cash
Has Lampert done anything with it? Did he maybe buy Citi (C) shares for Sears and ESL? Has he invested it anywhere else?
3- The Swaps
These have been the only real investments outside of the retail operations. How are they performing? Did he liquidate them? Did he increase them?
4- The New Ad Campaign
Having seen it, I think is is great and have not seen anything close to this good from Sears in recent memory. Initial results from it may be available and anything said about it will be of interest.
5- Results
Believe it or not the actual earning numbers may take a back seat to the previous questions, assuming no large variation to expectations. Retails results have been mixed this quarter so a small beat or a miss may not be as important to investors as having answers to the other questions.
What will results be? With Sears not giving any guidance, any estimate is just a guess. I do know one thing, no matter what happens, I am not selling.
Article written by: Todd Sullivan
Article posted on: May 30th 2007
Todd Sullivan runs the Value Plays Investment Blog and is a Contributor for The Stockmasters. Todd is a Massachusetts based value investor that specializes in identifying stocks worth holding long-term because as he says, successful investing does not need to be complicated.
Disclaimer: The Author owns shares of SHLD is holding a long position.

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