VASCO Data Security (VDSI) and the 50% Drop
There's over-actors like Jim Carrey and Robin Williams, then there's the latest backlash to VASCO Data Security Intl., Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VDSI) stock price. Since Oct 24th, VDSI shares have fallen 50% after missing Q3 analyst's estimates by 2 cents. Needless to say, much like Jim Carrey freaking the hell out and being annoying in every movie he's ever made (minus 'The Truman Show'), Wall Street is doing the same over VASCO.
Here's the kicker, VASCO Data revenues for Q3 2007 increased 60% over Q3 2006. Their operating income increased 66% over Q3 2006 and the order backlog for Q4 at $33.4 million is best in the Company's history. VASCO reaffirmed their full-year 2007 guidance for revenue growth, gross margins and operating margins on last months earnings call but the Street is spanking them a new one.
VASCO is a world-leader for strong User Authentication with a customer base of more than 6,000 companies in more than 100 countries, including approximately 950 international financial institutions. They provide products to secure sensitive information and transactions in the financial, government, education, healthcare, technology, manufacturing and telecommunications industries.
The StockMasters Master Picks Newsletter has a 15.29% Positive return since our inception in October 2006. The Average duration for our stock picks is 3.61 months, and we have the track record to prove it (click here to view Master Picks track record). Our price is only $45 for an entire 12 month subscription. Consider our newsletter as an affordable supplement to your stock research. We aren't trying to kill you with an outrageous annual fee and it will cost you less than a round of beers and shots for you and your crew. Make the right choices, be informed and have more money for flaming Dr. Peppers. Get our newsletter on sale at WallStNewsletters.com
Since when has winning 608 new customers in the third quarter, including 106 banks and 502 enterprise security customers been a bad thing?
Missing by 2 cents? Oh baby pants Wall Street analysts, is the little baby okay wearing his baby pants? Ohhh, little baby pants missed and now you're selling all your shares? Cry away like Ace Ventura with a gun to your head (great movie by the way) but the guys that buy now will be saying 'LOOO-HOOO-ZUH-HER!' to those who didn't a month from now.
On October 30th, RBC Capital Markets analyst Robert Breza upgraded shares of VDSI to "Sector Perform" or "Hold" from "Underperform" or "Sell" and maintained his $26 price target.
"We believe a significant amount of the risk has been removed from the stock given the valuation reset," Breza said in a client note.
Due to a $33.4 million backlog of firm orders to be shipped in the fourth quarter, compared with a $21.5 million backlog in the year-ago period, fourth-quarter results should meet analysts' forecasts, Breza said. Analysts forecast earnings per share of 20 cents.
"Longer-term, we continue to believe Vasco is in the right market with the right products but will need to continue to execute in the face of a difficult industry backdrop," Breza said.
On November 19th, Friedman Billings upgraded VDSI to "Outperform" and set a $33 price target.
Friedman said they were cautious on VASCO heading into 3Q07, but they believe the precipitous decline in shares over the last few weeks is now overdone and represents a buying opportunity. Friedman says recent checks have been positive, as they have not sensed that the malaise from the credit markets/financials has negatively impacted VDSI's business to date.
So shares of VASCO sit at $21 this week because of crappy market conditions, what do you think they'll do next week?
Article by Frank Lara Jr.
Contributor at TheStockMasters.com
Disclaimer: The Author does not hold any positions or shares in the securities mentioned in this publication, but plans on buying soon.
Fellow Masters, its times like these that we must be proactive about our investments. We've created a special one-time newsletter is to assist you diversify your Portfolio with Recession Proof Stocks and Securities. Weather the coming storm and consider the selections we detail in this publication to help you avoid negative losses to your hard earned savings.
We bring you nine possible securities for you to invest in, with additional ideas about what to do with your money if a recession does hit the U.S. Economy.
This is a special one-time 12 page publication that sells for only $4 (Free for all Full Monte Subscribers). You create an account on WallStNewsletters.com, pay the $4 and we allow you access to the PDF format of the 'Recession Resistance Newsletter', it's that easy.
The RECESSION RESISTANCE INDEX was released on 11/19/2007 but there's plenty of time to get in on the securities we recommended during the bear market to come
Best of the Blogs
Scanning and identifying the best blog entries every hour
- HSBC MoNeY LauNDRY... | ZeroHedge
- Get Amazing Abs and Understand Markets! No, Seriously! | ZeroHedge
- U.S. Healthcare And The Tragedy Of The Commons | ZeroHedge
- This Is What Happens To Gold In A Hyperinflationary Currency Crisis: Ukraine Edition | ZeroHedge
- US Posts First Negative Inflation Print Since Lehman On Gas Price Plunge | ZeroHedge
- Economic Composite Index Suggests Restocking Cycle Is Over | ZeroHedge
- "Faith In Fed Abilities" Are Too Firmly Embedded In The Investor Class | ZeroHedge
The most relevant financial news and articles from the Internets
- Science says taking the train is better for your health than driving to... | Business Insider
- Palantir, the War on Terror's Secret Weapon | BusinessWeek
- UN to discuss Ukraine on anniversary of annexation | Business Insider
- Market Wrap... | StreetInsider.com
- One CEO explains how to properly apologize at work | Business Insider
- The Iranian graduate student who sparked a now-reversed UMass admissions... | Business Insider
- World art sales hit new record in 2014 | Business Insider