

The Tao of N.W.A. - Investing in 2007 like a true Gangsta'
Page 2
Another potential pearl for 2007 and oft-reflected upon topic
in N.W.A. lyrics is the U.S. prison system:
And don't let no pail face, they throw your ass in a cell race
Have you resident suck a pie in a jail space
That's what they want to do 'cause the system is fu%$*d
It sure is, MC Ren. Fortunately for equity investors, there is a way
to make bets on increasing prison overcrowding and federal/state government's
desire to utilize private management companies instead of taking the
difficult political stance of reducing sentences. Add Corrections Corp.
of America (CXW)
to the list. This private prison operator had a big run-up this year
- a product of continued upwards earnings revisions. With California's
prison overcrowding in crisis
mode, CVW will be more than happy to house felons at $60/day for
the governator. Or, we let this whole thing work itself out instead,
like in No
Escape. I'll call Ray Liotta and let him know we actually need him
this time.
No discussion of violent criminals should fail to mention the tools
of the trade, and N.W.A. was never shy about that topic:
AK-47
is the tool
Don't make me act the motherfu$*&n fool...
Any daily viewing of online news sites will reveal two things 1) Britney
is crazy 2) The world is crazier. And if the entirety human history
is any indication of the future, then we are in store for flying bullets,
AK wielding rebels, and fool actin'.
We will turn to a pair of securities to help us with this unfortunate
reality: reigning ammunition king Alliant Techsystems (ATK)
and beneficiary of global rebel violence, Halliburton (HAL).
So
what to do with all those bodies? Well if the deceased are fortunate
enough to not end up in as ashes in Jeff Lebowski's beard, a good ol'
fashioned funeral will be in order. Although an increasing number of
Americans are opting for cremation, the funeral industry is still an
$11B+ annual industry - with around half ending up in some type of casket.
MC Ren was the king of macabre lyrics, and on the subject of the business
of death, he offered this stanza:
Murder was a dirty job. To rob a dead man
Was the best plan 'cause a dead man never ran.
Sage advice. Hillenbrand Industries, Inc. (HB)
is the way for an investing gangsta to reach into the dead man's pocket
in 2007. HB's Batesville Casket division manufacturers caskets, urns,
and other funeral goodies - at nice margins due to favorable industry
positioning (so favorable in fact as to the draw legal assaults of independent
casket makers). Talk of splitting the casket business away from the
health care division at HB has us interested in the potential.
Collecting debts on the streets isn't always as easy as robbing a dead
man, and in the N.W.A. classic, Alwayz Into Somethin', Dre appropriately
exclaims:
I gotta get paid, paid in a hurry see
I gotta have it if I'm not paid fully
I start takin', makin' sure my sh*t is steady bumpin'
Dr. Dre might as well have been speaking on the earnings call of Asta
Funding (ASFI).
Asta "acquires, manages, collects and services portfolios of consumer
receivables." Debt collection company based in New Jersey with
a 20% ROA? This pick plays well with our belief that there will be plenty
of bad consumer debt for everyone in the industry next year. We'll push
to get Dre scheduled at next quarter's call.

Lack of growth catalysts?!?! I made Eminem, motha f*^ka! You ever usher
in the G-Funk era? Oh, I musta forgot... that's an impossibility. I
did that sh*t...
(a hush falls over the call as the sophisticated conference
phone mic picks up the Ryan Beck & Co. analyst awkwardly urinating
in his pleated chinos before the intro to "Nuthin' but a G Thang"
fades in to signal the end of the call)
It may be easy to discard the financial wisdom of N.W.A., but both Dr.
Dre and Ice Cube are reputedly worth in excess of $100M. Both knew the
value of viral marketing and the irrelevance of the media empires that
are crumbling before us today. Perhaps Dre put it best when he rapped,
"Cause I don't give a f*^k about radio play" In this
light, the pioneers of gangsta rap where also among the first to commercially
leverage the power of the Long
Tail. As it turns out, the only thing that ever mattered was cash
- and employing less of it to put more of it in your pocket. Create
something funky and allow access to those who seek da' funk.
Then perhaps the foundation of investing like a gangsta in '07 can be
found in this verse:
To be a dope man boy you must qualify
Don't get high off your own supply
From a kid to a G it's all about money
Well said, gentlemen, well said indeed.
Article written by: Henley
Frey
Article posted on: December 28th, 2006
Note: Our 2007 Gangsta Index: WFC, GOOG, AEA, CXW, ATK, HAL,
HB, ASFI - check back throughout the year to see how it performs.
Disclaimer: The author is long a scratched copy of Straight
Outta' Compton, owns none of the securities mentioned in this article,
and would be glad to accompany Warren G and the ladies to the East Siiiiiiiiiiide
Moohhhtellllll....
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